They all soar up david rees single an asymptote just beyond the turn of the century: The Singularity.
The end of everything we know. The beginning of something we may never understand. Ever since the world failed to end at the turn of the first millennium after Christ, theologians, evangelists, poets, seers, and now, david rees single computer programmers have looked to the end of this decade with an expectation that it would bring something momentous.
No less an authority than Isaac Newton speculated that the world would end with the year Michel de Nostradamus, whose prophecies have been read by every generation since they were first published inforecast the coming of the Third Antichrist in July Swiss psychologist Carl Jung, connoisseur of the "collective unconscious," envisioned the birth of a David rees single Age in david rees single Such forecasts may easily be ridiculed.
And david rees single can the sober forecasts of economists, such as Dr. Edward Yardeni of Deutsche Bank Securities, who expects computer malfunctions on the millennial midnight to "disrupt the entire global economy.
A sense of disquiet about the future has begun to color the optimism so characteristic of Western societies for the past years.
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People everywhere are hesitant and worried. You see it in their faces. Hear it in their conversation. See it reflected in polls and registered in the ballot box.
Just as an invisible, physical change of ions in the atmosphere signals that a thunderstorm is imminent even before the clouds darken and lightning strikes, so now, in the twilight of the millennium, premonitions of change are in the air. One person after another, each in his own way, senses that time is running out on a dying way of life.
As the decade expires, a murderous century expires with it, and also a glorious millennium of human accomplishment. All draw to a close with the year This book tells why.
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- It feels a little like guilt by association, if you know what I mean.
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Like many earlier works, it is an attempt to see into a glass darkly, to sketch out the vague shapes and dimensions of a future that is still to be. In that sense, we mean our work to be apocalyptic -- in the original meaning of the word.
Apokalypsis means "unveiling" in Greek. We believe that a new stage in history -- the Information Age -- is about to be "unveiled.
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David rees single have, in short, the beginnings of a new kind of community. The virtual community becomes the model for a secular Kingdom of Heaven; as Jesus said there were many mansions in his Father's Kingdom, so there are many virtual communities, each reflecting their own needs and desires. Innovations that alter the logic of violence in unprecedented ways are transforming the boundaries within which the future must lie. If our deductions are correct, you stand at the threshold of the most sweeping revolution in history.
Faster than all but a few now imagine, microprocessing will subvert and destroy the nation-state, creating new forms of social organization in the process.
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This will be far from an easy transformation. The challenge it will pose will be all the greater because it will happen with incredible speed compared with anything seen in the past.
Through all of human history from its earliest beginnings until now, there have been only three basic stages of economic life: 1 hunting-and-gathering societies; 2 agricultural societies; and 3 industrial societies. Now, looming over david rees single horizon, is something entirely new, the fourth stage of social organization: information societies.
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Each of the previous dating böblingen of society has corresponded with distinctly different phases in the evolution and control of violence. As we explain in detail, information societies promise to dramatically reduce the returns to violence, in part because they transcend locality.
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The virtual reality of cyberspace, what novelist William Gibson characterized as a "consensual hallucination," will be as far beyond the reach of bullies as imagination can take it. In the new millennium, the advantage of controlling violence on a large scale will be far lower than it has been at any time since before the French Revolution.
This will have profound consequences. One of these will be rising crime. When the payoff for organizing violence at a large scale tumbles, the payoff from violence at a smaller scale is likely to jump.
Violence will become more random and localized. Organized crime will grow in hippie frauen kennenlernen. We explain why.
Another logical implication on falling returns to violence is the eclipse of politics, which is the stage for crime on the largest scale.
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There is much evidence that adherence to the civic myths of the twentieth-century nation-state is rapidly eroding. The death of Communism is merely the most striking example.
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As we explore david rees single detail, the collapse of morality and growing corruption among leaders of Western governments are not random developments.
They are evidence that the david rees single of the nation-state is exhausted. Even many of its leaders no longer believe the platitudes they mouth.
Nor are they believed by others.